Military Vaccine Mandate Part 2.
A deeper look at the vaccine itself and how it does nothing regarding transmission. I thought you said it was 95% effective?
*The writings, thoughts and opinions here in are the authors own and represent in no way any organization, group, or service that the author may or may not be a party to. To include any state, federal, or non government entity*
The CDC director confirms the vaccine is stopping transmission in July, POTUS says it will stop transmission in October. When does this start counting as lying vs bad communication?
09 August 2021, Secretary of Defense Austin Announces COVID vaccine mandate. To most service members it didn’t come as a surprise, being forced to get a vaccine is commonplace. Regardless, service members, in not insignificant numbers, are still asking “Why?” I found myself asking too, “Why?” After far too many failed attempts at getting a cogent answer out of anyone in charge other than “it is safe and effective”, I decided to look into it myself.
To preface this, I took the general age of military personnel 18-49 and used that as my comparison tool against the general public. This is the age group that public health researchers have been using, constitutes the majority of our force, and results would not be skewed by children who are barely affected and the elderly who are substantially more affected.
If service members are not getting severely ill, not dying, not taking up hospital beds, surely the vaccine will be showing no ill effects as we are being told and will stop the virus and the transmission of it. Right!?
LOL........ no.....
Two key data points need to be looked at here.
1) Efficacy- We must measure and see if it does what, actually this goal post has been moved officially 3 times (based on the Phase III clinical trial measures of efficacy and more so by everyone with a Twitter or cable news slot) so let's just see if it does anything for the group we are focusing on here.
2) Safety- We must know what the mRNA injection and what carries it do to humans in both the short and long term. Since everyone and their brother who is in a position of authority has told you it is “Safe and Effective” since the end of the 300 some odd person study, it must be helping for it to be pushed as hard as it is, correct? Let's look.
NT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine Comirnaty
Everyone at this point now knows that the objective of the vaccine is to “reduce severity” of SARS-CoV-2, which is great if you’re in a group that needs the severity brought down. For the military; however, they are being asked to take something from an administration they don’t trust, made by companies they don’t trust, by leadership they don’t trust, that is a drug they don’t trust because the aforementioned trifecta of morons has made every possible error in messaging this drug to people possible.
For example, Joe Biden said on 7 October 2021 “We’re requiring active-duty military to be vaccinated. We’re making sure healthcare workers are vaccinated, because if you seek care at a healthcare facility, you should have the certainty that the pro -- the people providing that care are protected from COVID and cannot spread it to you,” so quoth the President.1
Even the CDC Director, Rochelle Walensky, said “Our vaccines are working exceptionally well. They continue to work well for Delta with regard to severe illness and death, they prevent it. But what they can’t do anymore is prevent transmission” admits they do not stop transmission on CNN.2 So by “they prevent it” she means it prevents severe illness and death, not transmission thus not the disease itself, so if a subpopulation already wasn’t getting very sick or dying, what’s the point? Also, she said that on 30 July 2021. The CDC director confirms the vaccine is stopping transmission in July, POTUS says it will stop transmission in October. When does this start counting as lying vs bad communication?
Since the CDC has proven itself to be about as useful as a gender identification in 2021, let's double-check that. Also, these are direct quotes out of CNN interviews from these people speaking, but are disproportionately hard to find on “reputable” sites or even YouTube.
(This next part is semi technical but reproductive number(r) = how many people one person will infect. A r of 1 or less is a good thing. The entire country is at and has been for quite some time within decimal points of that.)
To put it simply to look at the transmissibility of a disease, and whether or not your vaccine is having an effect on it, you need to look at the Reproductive number over time, as well as whether or not the viral load is being diminished by the vaccine.3 Basically what we are trying to get to is an R of 1 or less. If that happens then no more pandemic for the most part. As of writing this, we have 13 states that are sitting at an R of 1, two states at 1.1, and one state at a 1.2, fortunately, the rest of the country is sub r=1.4 5
According to leadership and the media, I thought the world was still burning down resulting in firing thousands upon thousands of nurses and threatening American service members because we were trying to slow this virus down. How could we POSSIBLY be at a low reproduction rate, with some states being as low as 0.8 (Florida btw Go Brandon Go!), and still need to mandate a vaccine for people that don’t want to partake in? Could natural immunity be at play? Probably, but that is not allowed to be talked about by our COVID priests, so lets stick to vaccines.
Health data lags behind a bit, but we do have pretty accurate numbers for the period of 22 April 2021 and 28 August 2021 where vaccination status was looked at by age group and by state. With this it is pretty easy to look at states with HIGH vaccination numbers should have LOW COVID deaths in the group (18-49 all sexes) during a given period of time pertinent to this paper. The inverse should also be true LOW vaccination numbers in this group should show a HIGH number of COVID deaths. The next post look into this in-depth.
Full reference list can be seen in the data and references post on the home page
Ian Schwartz,On Date October 7, “Biden: The Vaccinated Are ‘Protected’ from Covid, ‘Cannot Spread It to You,’” RealClearPolitics (RealClear Politics, October 7, 2021), https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2021/10/07/biden_vaccinated_protected_from_covid_cannot_spread_it_to_you.html.
“CDC Director Changes Her Story, Now Admits Covid Vaccines Don’t Prevent Virus Transmission.” NOQ Report. Becker News, August 7, 2021. https://noqreport.com/2021/08/07/cdc-director-changes-her-story-now-admits-covid-vaccines-dont-prevent-virus-transmission/.
“US Centers for Disease Control,” US Centers for Disease Control (CDC, July 30, 2021), https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2021/s0730-mmwr-covid-19.html.
“Temporal Variation in Transmission during the Covid-19 Outbreak.” Covid-19 Temporal Variation in Transmission. Accessed October 12, 2021. https://epiforecasts.io/covid.
“Summary Data Reproductive Rate.” Harvard Dataverse, June 26, 2021. https://dataverse.harvard.edu/file.xhtml?fileId=4202836&version=8.0.